Multiple Myeloma - Survival Rate Statistics by Hospital
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Multiple Myeloma - The Longer You Live, The Longer You Live!  Survival Rate and Life Expectancy Improves to a Cure rate at 10 years of Survival 

1/20/2013

4 Comments

 
Some recent studies have shown that if a multiple myeloma patient can survive 10 years, they seldom relapse after this time and this could be considered cure.  This happens in about 10% of all cases.  This assertion has been repeated by Dr Berenson, Dr. Hari, and Dr. Vij on three separate Cure Panel Broadcasts. 

However, I think we can take this one step further.  For each year of survival, the probability of survival improves and continues to improve until it reaches the same survival rate for the general population of the same age.  An analysis of the SEER survival rates provided by the National Cancer Institute shows this exact relationship.  If I subtract the yearly survival rate of year 0 from year one,  I find that 23.5 percent of all multiple myeloma patients do not survive, and if I do this for year 1 to year 2 then 10.9 percent of the total patients do not survive for this period.  You can continue this process all the way to the period between year 9 and year 10 where only 2.1 percent of the patients do not survive during this period.  At this point the Social Security Life Expectancy tables report that the average American will die at a rate of 2.15 percent, or at a rate slightly greater rate than the average multiple myeloma patient.  So "The longer you live, The longer you live!"


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There are a number of possible explanations for this relationship.  Some may be early deaths for high risk patients, smoldering patients, the advent of the use of novel agents, some patients obtaining and maintaining CR, et al.  However, the newest data that I have seen from the multiple myeloma specialists show 1 and 2 year rates that are much better by 2 to 13 times the rates provided by SEER.  In addition, this SEER data represents an average life expectancy of 4 years where many of the multiple myeloma specialists have average life expectancy of 7 to 10 years. 

So the best three things that you can do to improve life expectancy remain "Multiple Myeloma Specialist, Multiple Myeloma Specialist, and Multiple Myeloma Specialist."   A listing of the world's best can be found at the link: http://www.myelomasurvival.com/myeloma-specialists-listing.html.  



4 Comments
Richard G. Stone jr.
8/13/2018 09:47:53 am

I just turned 69 this past July 21st. I read that the longer you live , the longer you live ! I don't quite understand what that means . Kind of ambiguous wouldn't you say! That goes for every person on this planet whether having a natural life or unnatural. Please clarify. And don't tell me it is what it is! That's a coward way of withholding information or not knowing what they are talking about.

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Gary Petersen link
8/13/2018 04:53:23 pm

Richard, if you are high risk your life expectancy is 2 years, if low risk it is 8 to 10 years. So 25% of myeloma patients die in the first year, and just 10% of the patients die in the second year. So if you get past one year your probability of death goes down by a factor of 2.5. If you live 9 years you have only a 2% chance of dying. I hope this clears this up for you. Garu

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Michelle
12/21/2019 12:41:43 pm

Hi Gary. This article is very encouraging. Please forgive my ignorance, but if the life expectancy of a low-risk patient is 8-10 years, does that mean that all patients die by the 10th year, or is 8-10 the average range? I have a 52-year-old loved one who had a successful stem cell transplant almost 4 years ago, and I do not want to have false hope regarding his chances of long-term survival.

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Stephen MARLEY
2/17/2021 04:17:50 am

Hi Gary, IS it possible to give the average life expectancy for a recently diagnosed woman of 89 years. Stage 1
My question is tied into the current lockdown situation where hopeful travel pans will occur between England and Canada to visit a mother/grandmother. thankyou for your time Stephen Marley

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    Gary R. Petersen
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