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What If The New Cancer Drug Pipeline Runs Dry? No New Cancer Drugs! Patients DIE!

8/30/2018

4 Comments

 
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For myeloma, and most cancers, new drug development has been a corner stone to improved survival and life expectancy.  To cancer patients it is the river of life, and we want to see it provide a torrent of new drugs.  But what if this river runs dry?

First the History of  New Novel Myeloma Drug Development


Just to let you know many, maybe most, new drugs are not developed by big pharma.  No, they start out as Micro Bio-Tech companies like Celgene was in 1997, when they opened a clinical trial to see If Thalamid  would have any efficacy for myeloma at the request of UAMS.  This unprofitable company, with $7 million in losses each year with a stock price of 50 cents and market value of just $8 million dollars was the genesis of the current company worth $65,000 million, and a stock price of nearly $100 per share.  The trial was successful, which led to Thalamid, Revlimid, and Polmalidomid.  

Taketa did not develop Velcade, it was the Micro Cap company ProScript - This led to Velcade, and Ninlaro

Amgen did not develop Kyprolis, it was the Micro Cap Onyx Pharmaceuticals. 

And the most recent example is the Micro Cap company, Karyopharm which has just obtained FDA approval for Selinexor

These drugs have saved so many lives and helped to double our life expectancy, and in the hands of a myeloma specialist has tripled it.  So what if these Baby Bio Techs were aborted before birth?   I believe I would not be here, and most patients would still be living an average of just 33 months.  This was the life expectancy before novel drug development.


I invest in stocks and have a COI in this area, I have recently invested about 2% of my 401k in Micro  Bio Techs.  I have far more 30% in the bio big boys, like Abbvie, Celgene, BIB. and XBI.  However, the most skin I have in this game is my LIFE, which depends on these drugs and new yet approved drugs.  In other words money means little to me if I am dead!

So OK, why does this have anything to do with new drug development?   These companies are started and funded by stock sales, they usually lose money in the 10 years it takes to bring a new drug to market, so investors are betting on the  idea and have FAITH it will come to market.  So when my 2 investments in Micro tech stocks tanked in a very short time, I was concerned.  I have senior level management experience, an Engineering background and MBA from NYU, so I know a little about stocks, balance sheets and  the P&L.  What I believe is happening is the micro bio tech stocks are being manipulated by predatory trading practices.  In early 2016 I noticed the volume of trades sometimes exceeded the stock that had been issued and the trading volume would go from an average of 1000 shares a day to 350,000 per day.  This was repeated over and over again for most of the Cancer Baby Bios.  This drove the stock price down and makes it far harder for these companies to survive for the time required to bring drugs to market.  Why?  If the stock has gone down 75% a company must sell 4 times as many shares to get the same cash to fund operations, not to mention that each investor has lost 75% or there investment, and investors lose confidence in micro bio techs.

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   The Cancer Drug Development River Must Never Dry Up From Predatory Stock Trading!


I believe traders and some brokers noticed the vulnerability of these stocks and overpowered them with illegal predatory trading practices, and it works because these stocks are based on faith.  And predatory trading can and does destroy faith in micro-cap bio tech stocks.  Most other small cap companies live and die based on the profitability of the company, and it is easy to see how profitable a company is,  making it far more difficult to attack successfully. 

As an investor, I could just cash out of these two bio techs and call it a lesson learned, and never again trade in micro cap stocks!  But as a cancer patient, I see the threat this kind of thinking and lack of faith will do to the very backbone of new drug development. If baby bio tech companies can not fund themselves through stock sales their products will never make it to market.  If Capital Vultures destroy the incubator of new drug development it will run the river of new cancer drugs dry causing a stagnation in cancer survival rates and life expectancy.  HOW MANY people must die because of a few morally bankrupt traders or brokers. 

The risk is we may not see many new drugs developed by these baby bio techs because they cannot survive the savage onslaught of these Capital Vultures.  I have put in a complaint into the SEC, and the FBI and hope they will work to stop this criminal activity.  How many people have to die because of this immoral activity.   You too can enter a complaint at the following links, SEC link:
https://www.sec.gov/tcr and the FBI link: https://www.tips.fbi.com  The more complaints the more likely of an investigation, and the sooner this activity stops!  Hopefully they will see some jail time, which should bring this activity to a halt.  Similar predatory trading practices resulted in the arrest of Taub and Shmalo who manipulated $10 Billion in stock. To read this case CLICK HERE.

A small sample of the baby bio techs which have been attacked include: ATNM, CGEN, CLRB, CTIC, KOOL, and KPTI (before excellent Phase 3 results), and to view an expanded list of cancer micro bio techs which are under attack or vulnerable to attack CLICK HERE.

You may be right I may be Crazy but it just may be a PREDATOR your looking for!  (A little change to Billy Joel’s lyrics)   Best Regards/Gary

4 Comments
Mark
9/5/2018 10:20:39 am

Hey Gary,

Always glad to see a new post from you - that means you must be doing well.

Interesting topic. I am a trader as well I typically do not invest in micro biotechs for the reasons you describe. They tend to be stocks that traders can short to manipulate price.

With respect to myeloma therapy, it seems like the focus should be on using the drugs they have more effectively as opposed to looking for new drugs. I read the story of Cherie Rineker on the myeloma crowd website about the amount of drugs and combos she had used in 5 years. She mentions how poorly her immune system was functioning as a result of that. I know I am in the minority, but I think a healthy functioning immune system is he most important factor in beating myeloma - not constantly increasing the amount/number of drugs a patient is using. I have commented before - it seems most long term myeloma survivors take some therapy breaks at some point.

Again, thanks for the great article and I am happy that you are doing well.

Mark

Reply
Gary Petersen link
9/5/2018 04:50:53 pm

Thanks Mark, it is always good to hear from you and find out how the ALLOMAN is doing. Glad to hear all is well with you. A robust immune system is probable the key to long term survival after treatment. All the recent work to find myeloma at or before it is in the smoldering phase may be a real key to nipping myeloma in the bud! I wish I had been found earlier, because I would not have kidney damage and all the blood and immune issues that go along with it if I would just have been treated earlier in the disease progression. Best Regards/Gary

Reply
John Talley
8/1/2019 04:13:11 am

I want to help but am having a hard time following what the shorters are doing to damage the share price. Are they buying large quantities and then dumping them? Wouldn't that drive the price up as demand goes up?
Anyway, I will keep researching and when I know what I am asking the feds to stop,... I will ask.
Thanks for the alert.

Reply
Gary Petersen link
8/1/2019 09:22:51 am

John, I have two other posts which explain how these Capital Vultures kill new drug innovation. In summary because they are small, not widely traded, and vulnerable they usually wait for a press release with GOOD news. They know the price will go up and they wait until it does, and then overpower the buy side with short sales driving down the stock price. They then replace the shares at the lower price and bank the difference. To do this they often resort to naked short sales which is illegal as is the manipulation of stock price. Unfortunately, I see it, but apparently the SEC is not looking, or just does believe microcap stocks are too smail to warrant any policing efforts! The thing they do not seem to understand is LIVES are being lost every day because of their efforts. Some great background on this is at the following links: https://smithonstocks.com/illegal-naked-short-selling-appears-to-lie-at-the-heart-of-an-extensive-stock-manipulation-scheme/ and http://myelomasurvival.com/myeloma-blog/manipulation-of-the-stocks-of-micro-cap-biotech-companies-is-killing-cancer-patients and http://myelomasurvival.com/myeloma-blog/the-proof-capital-vultures-are-destroying-baby-bio-tech-companies-before-they-have-time-to-create-new-drugs Thank You for taking the extra effort to understand how Wall Street Vultures can kill cancer patients! Gary

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    Gary R. Petersen
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